In stories, and in life, actions have consequences. Within the realm of stories, consequences are managed by the author, and hopefully reflect a reasonable outcome. But, it's amazing how often obvious consequences are twisted and molded to fit plot, rather than actions. I'm of the opinion that plot and character should go hand-in-hand. If plans, events, and consequences are not organically produced by direct character action, then the story can feel forced and unbelievable. Audiences need to dance in partner with the story, willing going along, and enjoying the rhythm. You can't force a dance--it has to be mutual.
When a story is short, such as in a movie, these consequences stand out even further. One complaint I hear a lot about many modern films is the lack of punishment for misdeeds. If a hero acts in a criminal way, why should they be rewarded? Well, when the movie demands it, then the story provides it. Vigilante stories fit this method the best, and audiences love it and dance right along (just think of Batman). But, if things spiral out of control the fix is in and audiences see the manipulations.
So, is a story supposed to fit reality and it's unflagging consequences ? Well, sure, if you want it to. However, a story isn't true life and the author can fiddle with the mechanics. Again, writing is about crafting the best story you possibly can. Unless you're writing factual history, then playing with the odds are all part of the game. Just don't do it so much that the audience stops dancing and wonders why their feet are sore from all the foot stomping.
- M
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